Lance Lawrence vs Raúl Flores
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record3-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamBlack Panther Arena
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lance LawrenceRaúl Flores
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raúl Flores74%
Lance Lawrence 26%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raúl Flores a 74% favorite over Lance Lawrence in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lance Lawrence's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Raúl Flores enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lance Lawrence finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Raúl Flores 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.