Landon Showalter vs Samuel Bily
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-19-1Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
What's at stake
Samuel Bily is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Landon Showalter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1431
If they lose-14→ 1399
If they win+22→ 1469
If they lose-26→ 1421
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Landon ShowalterSamuel Bily
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily65%
Landon Showalter 35%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 65% favorite over Landon Showalter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Samuel Bily holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1413, a 34-point edge.
Landon Showalter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Landon Showalter finishes 73% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.