Landry Ward vs Michael Boylan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamDes Moines MMA Academy
What's at stake
Landry Ward is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Boylan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1647
If they lose-17→ 1615
If they win+26→ 1636
If they lose-22→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Landry WardMichael Boylan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Landry Ward58%
Michael Boylan 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Landry Ward a 58% favorite over Michael Boylan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Landry Ward holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1610, a 22-point edge.
Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Landry Ward finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Michael Boylan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.