Landry Ward vs Yanal Ashmouz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
71"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1639 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Landry WardYanal Ashmouz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Landry Ward55%
Yanal Ashmouz 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Landry Ward a 55% favorite over Yanal Ashmouz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yanal Ashmouz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.
Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Landry Ward finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.
Landry Ward carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.