Combat Edge Intelligence

Larissa Pacheco vs Lucia Szabová

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-4-0Record12-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69.00"Reach-
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Joao Bastos TeamTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava

What's at stake

Lucia Szabová is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Larissa Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Larissa PachecoNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Lucia SzabováNow 1727
If they win+15→ 1742
If they lose-17→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
19%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Larissa PachecoLucia Szabová
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
8 (35%)
Submission
5 (42%)
4 (17%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucia Szabová89%
Larissa Pacheco 11%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucia Szabová a 89% favorite over Larissa Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Lucia Szabová holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1712, a 15-point edge.

Lucia Szabová enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Larissa Pacheco finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Lucia Szabová 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.