Larissa Pacheco vs Rin Nakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-4-0Record27-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'1"
69.00"Reach36,0"
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
Joao Bastos TeamTeamShooto Dojo Shikoku
What's at stake
Rin Nakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Larissa Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-10→ 1702
If they win+10→ 1774
If they lose-14→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Larissa PachecoRin Nakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Larissa Pacheco55%
Rin Nakai 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Larissa Pacheco a 55% favorite over Rin Nakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rin Nakai's way (43%).
Rin Nakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1712, a 52-point edge.
Rin Nakai enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Larissa Pacheco finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rin Nakai 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.