Combat Edge Intelligence

Larissa Pacheco vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-4-0Record13-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69.00"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Joao Bastos TeamTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Larissa Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Larissa PachecoNow 1712
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+14→ 1765
If they lose-18→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.21
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
19%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
56%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
6.26
0%
Takedown accuracy
68%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Larissa PachecoRonda Rousey
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
8 (35%)
Submission
10 (77%)
4 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronda Rousey66%
Larissa Pacheco 34%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 66% favorite over Larissa Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1712, a 39-point edge.

Larissa Pacheco finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.