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Combat Edge Intelligence

Larry Cureton vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Larry Cureton
us

Larry Cureton

“Thunderfoot”

0-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1445Developing
Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1494Average

Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
248 lbsWeight246 lbs

What's at stake

Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Larry Cureton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Larry CuretonNow 1445
If they win+27→ 1472
If they lose-21→ 1424
Ryo SakaiNow 1494
If they win+10→ 1504
If they lose-14→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Larry CuretonRyo Sakai
1450150015501996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai59%
Larry Cureton 41%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 59% favorite over Larry Cureton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1445, a 49-point edge.

Larry Cureton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.