Combat Edge Intelligence

Laureano Staropoli vs Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
71,5"ReachTBD
176 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamWinnipeg Academy of MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Laureano StaropoliNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Mariusz KsiazkiewiczNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
0.93
34%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
54%
Strike defense
39%
0.83
Takedown avg.
4
26%
Takedown accuracy
100%
48%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Laureano StaropoliMariusz Ksiazkiewicz
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (15%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz52%
Laureano Staropoli 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz a 52% favorite over Laureano Staropoli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Laureano Staropoli's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.

Laureano Staropoli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Laureano Staropoli finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.