Laureano Staropoli vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record23-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
71,5"Reach70,0"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Laureano Staropoli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Thiago Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1658
If they lose-19→ 1626
If they win+14→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Laureano StaropoliThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Laureano Staropoli75%
Thiago Alves 25%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Laureano Staropoli a 75% favorite over Thiago Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Laureano Staropoli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1572, a 73-point edge.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Laureano Staropoli finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Laureano Staropoli and Thiago Alves share 1 common opponent: Tim Means.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.