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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lauren Mueller vs Shana Dobson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record4-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
38,0"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Lauren Mueller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Shana Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lauren MuellerNow 1521
If they win+23→ 1544
If they lose-25→ 1496
Shana DobsonNow 1506
If they win+25→ 1531
If they lose-23→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
59%
Strike defense
50%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.84
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
71%
Takedown defense
14%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lauren MuellerShana Dobson
150015501600201920202021

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (80%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lauren Mueller and Shana Dobson within a point of even.

Lauren Mueller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1506, a 15-point edge.

Lauren Mueller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lauren Mueller finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Shana Dobson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.