Lauren Murphy vs Liliya Shakirova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gracie Barra KatyTeamOld School MMA
What's at stake
Lauren Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Liliya Shakirova carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-17→ 1634
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lauren MurphyLiliya Shakirova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lauren Murphy60%
Liliya Shakirova 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Lauren Murphy a 60% favorite over Liliya Shakirova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Lauren Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1619, a 32-point edge.
Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lauren Murphy finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Liliya Shakirova 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.