Combat Edge Intelligence

Laurynas Urbonavicius vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record27-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach80″
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Vale Tudo MMA AcademyTeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Laurynas UrbonaviciusNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Laurynas UrbonaviciusOvince St. Preux
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
2 (13%)
Submission
8 (30%)
4 (27%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Laurynas Urbonavicius70%
Ovince St. Preux 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Laurynas Urbonavicius a 70% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ovince St. Preux's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.

Laurynas Urbonavicius finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Ovince St. Preux carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.