Combat Edge Intelligence

Laurynas Urbonavicius vs Paul Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record11-1-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'9"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Vale Tudo MMA AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Laurynas UrbonaviciusNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
Paul JonesNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Laurynas UrbonaviciusPaul Jones
160016501700199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
2 (13%)
Submission
6 (67%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Jones57%
Laurynas Urbonavicius 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Jones a 57% favorite over Laurynas Urbonavicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Laurynas Urbonavicius finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Paul Jones 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.