Lavar Johnson vs Pat Barry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight237 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamTeam Death Clutch
What's at stake
Pat Barry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Lavar Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1505
If they lose-14→ 1473
If they win+14→ 1539
If they lose-18→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lavar JohnsonPat Barry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pat Barry70%
Lavar Johnson 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Pat Barry a 70% favorite over Lavar Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Pat Barry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1487, a 38-point edge.
Lavar Johnson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lavar Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pat Barry 88%.
Lavar Johnson and Pat Barry share 5 common opponents: Cheick Kongo, Stefan Struve, Joey Beltran and Shawn Jordan, among 5 in total.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.