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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lavar Johnson vs Samuele Di Guardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record4-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight265 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lavar JohnsonNow 1487
If they win+16→ 1503
If they lose-16→ 1471
Samuele Di GuardoNow 1487
If they win+24→ 1511
If they lose-24→ 1463

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.39
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
55%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
0.61
Takedown avg.
Not available
67%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
54%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.61
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Lavar JohnsonSamuele Di Guardo
15001550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (94%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lavar Johnson59%
Samuele Di Guardo 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lavar Johnson a 59% favorite over Samuele Di Guardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1487 vs 1487), separated by just 0 points.

Lavar Johnson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Samuele Di Guardo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lavar Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Samuele Di Guardo 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.