Lavar Johnson vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
253 lbsWeight240 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Lavar Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1504
If they lose-15→ 1472
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lavar JohnsonSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter84%
Lavar Johnson 16%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 84% favorite over Lavar Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1487, a 22-point edge.
Lavar Johnson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Lavar Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.