Combat Edge Intelligence

Lavar Johnson vs Sean Rose

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
253 lbsWeight264 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamTBD

What's at stake

Lavar Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sean Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lavar JohnsonNow 1487
If they win+15→ 1502
If they lose-17→ 1470
Sean RoseNow 1472
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.39
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.61
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.61
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lavar JohnsonSean Rose
1450150015502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (94%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Rose54%
Lavar Johnson 46%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 54% favorite over Lavar Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lavar Johnson's way (48%).

Lavar Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1487 to 1472, a 15-point edge.

Lavar Johnson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Lavar Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.