Lavar Johnson vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height7'0"
TBDReach84,5"
253 lbsWeight265 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Lavar Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1511
If they lose-8→ 1479
If they win+6→ 1670
If they lose-18→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stefan Struve83%
Lavar Johnson 17%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 83% favorite over Lavar Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1487, a 177-point edge.
Lavar Johnson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lavar Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.