Combat Edge Intelligence

Lawrence Lui vs Timmy Cuamba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Timmy Cuamba
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Timmy Cuamba

“Twilight Timmy”

10-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
City KickboxingTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lawrence LuiNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624
Timmy CuambaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
64%
Strike defense
58%
4.13
Takedown avg.
1.31
35%
Takedown accuracy
32%
100%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lawrence LuiTimmy Cuamba
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lawrence Lui and Timmy Cuamba within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1649), separated by just 1 points.

Lawrence Lui enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Lawrence Lui finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Timmy Cuamba 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.