Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazar Todev vs Mario Piazzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1666Good

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record12-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach73"
241 lbsWeight265 lbs
Tiger SportakademieTeamGalpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazar TodevNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Mario PiazzonNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lazar TodevMario Piazzon
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lazar Todev and Mario Piazzon within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1663), separated by just 3 points.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mario Piazzon enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lazar Todev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mario Piazzon 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.