Lazar Todev vs Rodrigo Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
-Reach80"
241 lbsWeight265 lbs
Tiger SportakademieTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lazar TodevRodrigo Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lazar Todev60%
Rodrigo Nascimento 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 60% favorite over Rodrigo Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Nascimento's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.
Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lazar Todev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.