Leah Letson vs Sara Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pura Vida BJJTeamResilience Training Centre
What's at stake
Sara Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Leah Letson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1598
If they lose-20→ 1550
If they win+20→ 1649
If they lose-28→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leah LetsonSara Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sara Collins66%
Leah Letson 34%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Sara Collins a 66% favorite over Leah Letson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Sara Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1570, a 59-point edge.
Leah Letson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.
Leah Letson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.