Combat Edge Intelligence

Leah McCourt vs Sara Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leah McCourt

Leah McCourt

“The Curse”

8-3-0FeatherweightBellator MMA

1576Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation I.M.M.A.TeamResilience Training Centre

What's at stake

Sara Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Leah McCourt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leah McCourtNow 1576
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562
Sara CollinsNow 1629
If they win+20→ 1649
If they lose-28→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leah McCourtSara Collins
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
3 (50%)
4 (50%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Sara Collins67%
Leah McCourt 33%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Sara Collins a 67% favorite over Leah McCourt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Sara Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1576, a 53-point edge.

Leah McCourt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.

Leah McCourt and Sara Collins share 1 common opponent: Sinead Kavanagh.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Decision · 2022
Sinead Kavanagh
WinDecision (Split) · 2023