Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Camargo vs Mario Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record6-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Strikers MMATeamCalifornia Warriors

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-16→ 1473
Mario RiveraNow 1492
If they win+16→ 1508
If they lose-16→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leandro CamargoMario Rivera
1400145015001550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
6 (86%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo71%
Mario Rivera 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 71% favorite over Mario Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Rivera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1489 vs 1492), separated by just 3 points.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mario Rivera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Leandro Camargo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mario Rivera 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.