Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Camargo vs Rich Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rich Walsh
au

Rich Walsh

“Filthy Rich”

9-5-0WelterweightUFC

1481Average

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
-Reach73.00
161 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rich Walsh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leandro CamargoNow 1497
If they win+15→ 1512
If they lose-17→ 1480
Rich WalshNow 1481
If they win+25→ 1506
If they lose-23→ 1458

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.55
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Leandro CamargoRich Walsh
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
6 (86%)
Submission
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo67%
Rich Walsh 33%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 67% favorite over Rich Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1481, a 16-point edge.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rich Walsh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rich Walsh 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.