Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Issa vs Russell Doane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69.00Reach70,5"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Evolve MMATeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

Russell Doane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Leandro Issa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leandro IssaNow 1552
If they win+31→ 1583
If they lose-17→ 1535
Russell DoaneNow 1654
If they win+9→ 1663
If they lose-15→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
58%
Strike defense
54%
2.38
Takedown avg.
2.11
22%
Takedown accuracy
46%
50%
Takedown defense
53%
1.19
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Leandro IssaRussell Doane
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
11 (65%)
Submission
6 (35%)
4 (24%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Russell Doane72%
Leandro Issa 28%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Russell Doane a 72% favorite over Leandro Issa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Russell Doane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1552, a 102-point edge.

Leandro Issa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Leandro Issa finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.

Leandro Issa and Russell Doane share 1 common opponent: Iuri Alcantara.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2015
Iuri Alcantara
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014