Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Issa vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69.00Reach73"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Evolve MMATeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Taylor Lapilus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Leandro Issa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leandro IssaNow 1552
If they win+36→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1540
Taylor LapilusNow 1750
If they win+8→ 1758
If they lose-24→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
38%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
58%
Strike defense
63%
2.38
Takedown avg.
0.27
22%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
77%
1.19
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Leandro IssaTaylor Lapilus
155016001650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
11 (65%)
Submission
6 (24%)
4 (24%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus92%
Leandro Issa 8%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 92% favorite over Leandro Issa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Taylor Lapilus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1552, a 198-point edge.

Leandro Issa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Leandro Issa finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.