Combat Edge Intelligence

Leo Bonin vs Tyson Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leo Bonin
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Leo Bonin

“The Lion”

5-2-0FeatherweightSMMA

1584Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
69.7"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leo BoninNow 1584
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Tyson GriffinNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.87
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Leo BoninTyson Griffin
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
3 (60%)
Submission
3 (18%)
1 (20%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Bonin71%
Tyson Griffin 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Bonin a 71% favorite over Tyson Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1584), separated by just 0 points.

Leo Bonin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Leo Bonin finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.