Combat Edge Intelligence

Leo Brichta vs Sterling Ford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record15-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Hanuman Thai BoxingTeamNW Elite Tacoma MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leo BrichtaNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Sterling FordNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leo BrichtaSterling Ford
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
4 (29%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (14%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Brichta70%
Sterling Ford 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Brichta a 70% favorite over Sterling Ford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.

Sterling Ford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leo Brichta finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Sterling Ford 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.