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Combat Edge Intelligence

Leon Edwards vs Magomed Umalatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record18-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74" Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Renegade· 1736 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leon EdwardsNow 1796
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784
Magomed UmalatovNow 1788
If they win+16→ 1804
If they lose-16→ 1772

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
1.18
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
64%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.36
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Leon EdwardsMagomed Umalatov
175018001850202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
3 (14%)
Submission
2 (11%)
12 (55%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Edwards61%
Magomed Umalatov 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 61% favorite over Magomed Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1796 vs 1788), separated by just 8 points.

Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Umalatov 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.