Leon Edwards vs Peter Sobotta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74" ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamPlanet Eater
What's at stake
Leon Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Peter Sobotta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1803
If they lose-17→ 1779
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-7→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leon EdwardsPeter Sobotta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leon Edwards81%
Peter Sobotta 19%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 81% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Leon Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1652, a 144-point edge.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.