Leon Edwards vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74" Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1760 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leon EdwardsRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leon Edwards66%
Robbie Lawler 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 66% favorite over Robbie Lawler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1796 vs 1788), separated by just 8 points.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Leon Edwards and Robbie Lawler share 3 common opponents: Colby Covington, Rafael dos Anjos and Donald Cerrone.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.