Combat Edge Intelligence

Leon Edwards vs Rustam Khabilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record24-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
74" Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leon EdwardsNow 1796
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784
Rustam KhabilovNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
54%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
53%
Strike defense
66%
1.18
Takedown avg.
3.95
36%
Takedown accuracy
42%
64%
Takedown defense
61%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Leon EdwardsRustam Khabilov
18001850201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (14%)
Submission
5 (21%)
12 (55%)
Decision
15 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Edwards51%
Rustam Khabilov 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 51% favorite over Rustam Khabilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1796 vs 1788), separated by just 8 points.

Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.