Leon Edwards vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record24-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74" Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Leon Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1806
If they lose-14→ 1782
If they win+14→ 1737
If they lose-10→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leon EdwardsVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leon Edwards67%
Vicente Luque 33%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 67% favorite over Vicente Luque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Leon Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1723, a 73-point edge.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Leon Edwards and Vicente Luque share 2 common opponents: Belal Muhammad and Rafael dos Anjos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.