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Combat Edge Intelligence

Leon Edwards vs Vicente Luque

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Vicente Luque
us

Vicente Luque

“The Silent Assassin”

24-13-1WelterweightUFC

1708Good

Tale of the tape

22-6-0Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74" Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Renegade· 1736 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Leon Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leon EdwardsNow 1796
If they win+9→ 1805
If they lose-15→ 1781
Vicente LuqueNow 1708
If they win+15→ 1723
If they lose-9→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.80
54%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.24
53%
Strike defense
52%
1.18
Takedown avg.
0.89
36%
Takedown accuracy
21%
64%
Takedown defense
60%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Leon EdwardsVicente Luque
1700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (32%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
3 (14%)
Submission
10 (42%)
12 (55%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Edwards65%
Vicente Luque 35%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 65% favorite over Vicente Luque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Leon Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1708, a 88-point edge.

Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.

Leon Edwards and Vicente Luque share 2 common opponents: Belal Muhammad and Rafael dos Anjos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Rafael dos Anjos
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Belal Muhammad
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022