Combat Edge Intelligence

Leon Shahbazyan vs Simeon Thoresen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record17-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glendale Fighting ClubTeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leon ShahbazyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Simeon ThoresenNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
52%
Strike accuracy
44%
8.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
32%
Strike defense
65%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.12
50%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Leon ShahbazyanSimeon Thoresen
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
11 (92%)
Submission
15 (88%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan70%
Simeon Thoresen 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 70% favorite over Simeon Thoresen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.

Simeon Thoresen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Leon Shahbazyan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Simeon Thoresen 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.