Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonard Garcia vs Makwan Amirkhani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-13-1Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonard GarciaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
25%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
53%
Strike defense
46%
0.30
Takedown avg.
3.96
27%
Takedown accuracy
15%
42%
Takedown defense
36%
0.53
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Leonard GarciaMakwan Amirkhani
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
10 (56%)
Submission
14 (70%)
3 (17%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani68%
Leonard Garcia 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 68% favorite over Leonard Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.

Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Leonard Garcia finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.