Leonard Garcia vs Mansur Khatuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record17-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'5"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonard GarciaMansur Khatuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonard Garcia57%
Mansur Khatuev 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonard Garcia a 57% favorite over Mansur Khatuev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.
Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonard Garcia finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Khatuev 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.