Leonard Garcia vs Matt Grice
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamR-1 MMA
What's at stake
Matt Grice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Leonard Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1634
If they lose-10→ 1610
If they win+13→ 1688
If they lose-19→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonard GarciaMatt Grice
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Grice51%
Leonard Garcia 49%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Grice a 51% favorite over Leonard Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Matt Grice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1620, a 55-point edge.
Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonard Garcia finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matt Grice 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.