Leonard Garcia vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record28-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Leonard Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1638
If they lose-6→ 1614
If they win+6→ 1836
If they lose-18→ 1812
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonard GarciaMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway88%
Leonard Garcia 12%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 88% favorite over Leonard Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1620, a 210-point edge.
Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonard Garcia finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Leonard Garcia and Max Holloway share 1 common opponent: Chan Sung Jung.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.