Leonard Garcia vs Nam Phan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-1Record21-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight141 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNam Phan MMA Academy
What's at stake
Leonard Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nam Phan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1628
If they lose-15→ 1604
If they win+15→ 1554
If they lose-9→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonard GarciaNam Phan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonard Garcia61%
Nam Phan 39%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonard Garcia a 61% favorite over Nam Phan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Leonard Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1539, a 80-point edge.
Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leonard Garcia finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nam Phan 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.