Leonardo Cerboni vs Łukasz Charzewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
151 lbsWeight146 lbs
Brazilian Top Team· 1661 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBonzai MMA· 1586 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo CerboniŁukasz Charzewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Łukasz Charzewski53%
Leonardo Cerboni 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Łukasz Charzewski a 53% favorite over Leonardo Cerboni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Cerboni's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.
Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Leonardo Cerboni finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Charzewski 27%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.