Leonardo Cerboni vs Wily Pereira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
151 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brazilian Top Team· 1660 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCombat Time
What's at stake
Leonardo Cerboni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Wily Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-20→ 1641
If they win+20→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo CerboniWily Pereira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Cerboni56%
Wily Pereira 44%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Cerboni a 56% favorite over Wily Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Leonardo Cerboni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1562, a 99-point edge.
Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Leonardo Cerboni finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Wily Pereira 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.