Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Cerboni vs Wily Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
151 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brazilian Top TeamTeamCombat Time

What's at stake

Leonardo Cerboni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Wily Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leonardo CerboniNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-20→ 1641
Wily PereiraNow 1561
If they win+20→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leonardo CerboniWily Pereira
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (22%)
Submission
7 (58%)
6 (67%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Cerboni83%
Wily Pereira 17%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Cerboni a 83% favorite over Wily Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Leonardo Cerboni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1561, a 100-point edge.

Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Leonardo Cerboni finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Wily Pereira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.