Leonardo Damiani vs Sean Spencer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-1Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1567 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo DamianiSean Spencer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Spencer61%
Leonardo Damiani 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Spencer a 61% favorite over Leonardo Damiani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Damiani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1581), separated by just 0 points.
Leonardo Damiani enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Damiani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sean Spencer 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.