Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Damiani vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-1Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo DamianiNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
24%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
38%
Strike defense
44%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
50%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Leonardo DamianiTakashi Sato
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
6 (50%)
Submission
2 (13%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Takashi Sato53%
Leonardo Damiani 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Takashi Sato a 53% favorite over Leonardo Damiani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Leonardo Damiani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Damiani finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.