Leonardo Guimaraes vs Minoru Toyonaga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-1Record2-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight195 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTakada Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416
If they win+23→ 1465
If they lose-25→ 1417
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo GuimaraesMinoru Toyonaga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Minoru Toyonaga58%
Leonardo Guimaraes 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Minoru Toyonaga a 58% favorite over Leonardo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1432 vs 1442), separated by just 10 points.
Minoru Toyonaga enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.