Leonardo Guimaraes vs Moti Horenstein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-1Record1-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamMoti Horenstein MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416
If they win+24→ 1454
If they lose-24→ 1406
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo GuimaraesMoti Horenstein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Leonardo Guimaraes and Moti Horenstein within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1432 vs 1430), separated by just 2 points.
Moti Horenstein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.