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Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Guimaraes vs Rick Roufus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rick Roufus
us

Rick Roufus

“The Jet”

4-6-0Light HeavyweightC3

1438Developing

Tale of the tape

15-14-1Record4-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

Rick Roufus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1423
If they win+17→ 1440
If they lose-15→ 1408
Rick RoufusNow 1438
If they win+23→ 1461
If they lose-25→ 1413

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Leonardo GuimaraesRick Roufus
14001450150020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
8 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Guimaraes54%
Rick Roufus 46%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 54% favorite over Rick Roufus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rick Roufus's way (48%).

Rick Roufus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1438 to 1423, a 15-point edge.

Rick Roufus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rick Roufus 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.