Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Guimaraes vs Rick Roufus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rick Roufus
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Rick Roufus

“The Jet”

4-6-0Light HeavyweightC3

1438Developing

Tale of the tape

15-14-1Record4-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1432
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416
Rick RoufusNow 1438
If they win+24→ 1462
If they lose-24→ 1414

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leonardo GuimaraesRick Roufus
14001450150020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
8 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Leonardo Guimaraes and Rick Roufus within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1432 vs 1438), separated by just 6 points.

Rick Roufus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rick Roufus 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.