Leonardo Guimaraes vs Rick Roufus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-1Record4-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Rick Roufus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1440
If they lose-15→ 1408
If they win+23→ 1461
If they lose-25→ 1413
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo GuimaraesRick Roufus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Leonardo Guimaraes and Rick Roufus within a point of even.
Rick Roufus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1438 to 1423, a 15-point edge.
Rick Roufus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rick Roufus 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.