Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Guimaraes vs Rudyard Moncayo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-14-1Record0-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1432
If they win+16→ 1448
If they lose-16→ 1416
Rudyard MoncayoNow 1427
If they win+24→ 1451
If they lose-24→ 1403

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Leonardo GuimaraesRudyard Moncayo
14001450199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Guimaraes61%
Rudyard Moncayo 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 61% favorite over Rudyard Moncayo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1432 vs 1427), separated by just 5 points.

Rudyard Moncayo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.