Leonardo Guimaraes vs Yosuke Nishijima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-1Record0-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTakada Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1439
If they lose-16→ 1407
If they win+24→ 1442
If they lose-24→ 1394
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo GuimaraesYosuke Nishijima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Guimaraes54%
Yosuke Nishijima 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 54% favorite over Yosuke Nishijima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1423 vs 1418), separated by just 5 points.
Yosuke Nishijima enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.